Publications

Elliot Paquette · Mathematics and Statistics, McGill University · home · CV · Google Scholar · arXiv

Random matrix theory Machine learning theory Probability

Every paper, in three sections: my two research programs, then earlier and miscellaneous work in probability. The programs are described on the home page. Numbering is global and matches my CV, so a paper keeps its number wherever it appears; the few papers belonging to both programs are listed in both, under one number.

Random matrix theory

β-ensembles, characteristic polynomials, and log-correlated fields

24 papers

58

Power-Law Spectrum of the Random Feature Model

Elliot Paquette, Ke Liang Xiao, Yizhe Zhu

preprint arXiv:2603.14578 · March 2026

57

Anisotropic local law for non-separable sample covariance matrices

Zhou Fan, Renyuan Ma, Elliot Paquette, Zhichao Wang

preprint arXiv:2602.17960 · February 2026

39

Dyson equation for correlated linearizations and test error of random features regression

Hugo Latourelle-Vigeant, Elliot Paquette

Random Matrices Theory Appl. 15(01), 2550026 · 2026

54

Eigenvalue distribution of the Neural Tangent Kernel in the quadratic scaling

Lucas Benigni, Elliot Paquette

preprint arXiv:2508.20036 · August 2025

53

Bulk asymptotics of the Gaussian $\beta$-ensemble characteristic polynomial

Gaultier Lambert, Elliot Paquette

preprint arXiv:2508.01458 · August 2025

52

The Fourier coefficients of the holomorphic multiplicative chaos in the limit of large frequency

Joseph Najnudel, Elliot Paquette, Nick Simm, Truong Vu

preprint arXiv:2502.14863 · February 2025

51

Operator level soft edge to bulk transition in $\beta$-ensembles via canonical systems

Vincent Painchaud, Elliot Paquette

preprint arXiv:2502.10305 · February 2025

37

The extremal landscape for the C$\beta$E ensemble

Elliot Paquette, Ofer Zeitouni

Forum Math. Sigma 13, 126 · 2025

50

The image of random analytic functions: coverage of the complex plane via branching processes

Alon Nishry, Elliot Paquette

preprint arXiv:2403.19380 · 2024

32

Secular coefficients and the holomorphic multiplicative chaos

Joseph Najnudel, Elliot Paquette, Nick Simm

Ann. Probab. 51(4), 1193–1248 · 2023

29

Gaussian analytic functions of bounded mean oscillation

Alon Nishry, Elliot Paquette

Analysis & PDE 16(1), 89–117 · 2023

28

Strong approximation of Gaussian beta-ensemble characteristic polynomials: the hyperbolic regime

Gaultier Lambert, Elliot Paquette

Ann. Appl. Probab. 33(1), 549–612 · 2023

27

Universality for the conjugate gradient and MINRES algorithms on sample covariance matrices

Elliot Paquette, Thomas Trogdon

Communications in Pure and Applied Mathematics · 2022

49

Strong approximation of Gaussian $\beta$-ensemble characteristic polynomials: the edge regime and the stochastic Airy function

Gaultier Lambert, Elliot Paquette

preprint arXiv:2009.05003 · September 2020

21

Spectrum of random perturbations of Toeplitz matrices with finite symbols

Anirban Basak, Elliot Paquette, Ofer Zeitouni

Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 373(7), 4999–5023 · 2020

19

Regularization of non-normal matrices by Gaussian noise - the banded Toeplitz and twisted Toeplitz cases

Anirban Basak, Elliot Paquette, Ofer Zeitouni

Forum Math. Sigma 7, Paper No. e3, 72 · 2019

16

The maximum deviation of the $Sine_\beta $ counting process

Diane Holcomb, Elliot Paquette

Electron. Commun. Probab. 23 · 2018

14

The law of large numbers for the maximum of almost Gaussian log-correlated fields coming from random matrices

Gaultier Lambert, Elliot Paquette

Probability Theory and Related Fields, 1–53 · 2018

13

Spectra of Overlapping Wishart Matrices and the Gaussian Free Field

Ioana Dumitriu, Elliot Paquette

Random Matrix Theory and Applications 7(02) · 2018

12

The maximum of the CUE field

Elliot Paquette, Ofer Zeitouni

International Mathematics Research Notices 2018(16), 5028–5119 · 2018

11

Extremal eigenvalue correlations in the GUE minor process and a law of fractional logarithm

Elliot Paquette, Ofer Zeitouni

The Annals of Probability 45(6A), 4112–4166 · 2017

7

Regularization of non-normal matrices by Gaussian noise

Ohad Noy Feldheim, Elliot Paquette, Ofer Zeitouni

Int. Math. Res. Not. IMRN, 8724–8751 · 2015

3

Global fluctuations for linear statistics of $\beta$-Jacobi ensembles

Ioana Dumitriu, Elliot Paquette

Random Matrices Theory Appl. 1(4), 60 · 2012

Other writing

Tridiagonal Models for Dyson Brownian Motion

Diane Holcomb, Elliot Paquette

preprint arXiv:1707.02700 · July 2017

Machine learning theory

scaling laws, high-dimensional optimization, and the dynamics of training

24 papers

61

Dynamics of Stochastic Momentum with Sparse Updates in High Dimensions

Katie Everett, Elliot Paquette

preprint arXiv:2605.28961 · May 2026

60

Phases of Muon: When Muon Eclipses SignSGD

Elliot Paquette, Noah Marshall, Lucas Benigni, Guangyuan Wang, Atish Agarwala, Courtney Paquette

preprint arXiv:2605.09552 · May 2026

59

Spectral Lens: Activation and Gradient Spectra as Diagnostics of LLM Optimization

Andy Zeyi Liu, Elliot Paquette, John Sous

preprint arXiv:2605.05683 · May 2026

58

Power-Law Spectrum of the Random Feature Model

Elliot Paquette, Ke Liang Xiao, Yizhe Zhu

preprint arXiv:2603.14578 · March 2026

57

Anisotropic local law for non-separable sample covariance matrices

Zhou Fan, Renyuan Ma, Elliot Paquette, Zhichao Wang

preprint arXiv:2602.17960 · February 2026

56

Logarithmic-time Schedules for Scaling Language Models with Momentum

Damien Ferbach, Courtney Paquette, Gauthier Gidel, Katie Everett, Elliot Paquette

preprint arXiv:2602.05298 · February 2026

39

Dyson equation for correlated linearizations and test error of random features regression

Hugo Latourelle-Vigeant, Elliot Paquette

Random Matrices Theory Appl. 15(01), 2550026 · 2026

55

High-Dimensional Privacy-Utility Dynamics of Noisy Stochastic Gradient Descent on Least Squares

Shurong Lin, Eric D. Kolaczyk, Adam Smith, Elliot Paquette

preprint arXiv:2510.16687 · October 2025

54

Eigenvalue distribution of the Neural Tangent Kernel in the quadratic scaling

Lucas Benigni, Elliot Paquette

preprint arXiv:2508.20036 · August 2025

48

Dimension-adapted Momentum Outscales SGD

Damien Ferbach, Katie Everett, Gauthier Gidel, Elliot Paquette, Courtney Paquette

NeurIPS Spotlight · 2025

47

Exact Risk Curves of signSGD in High-Dimensions: Quantifying Preconditioning and Noise-Compression Effects

Ke Liang Xiao, Noah Marshall, Atish Agarwala, Elliot Paquette

ICML · 2025

46

A Clipped Trip: the Dynamics of SGD with Gradient Clipping in High-Dimensions

Noah Marshall, Ke Liang Xiao, Atish Agarwala, Elliot Paquette

ICLR · 2025

38

Homogenization of SGD in high-dimensions: exact dynamics and generalization properties

Courtney Paquette, Elliot Paquette, Ben Adlam, Jeffrey Pennington

Math. Program. 214(1-2), 1–90 · 2025

45

The High Line: Exact Risk and Learning Rate Curves of Stochastic Adaptive Learning Rate Algorithms

Elizabeth Collins-Woodfin, Inbar Seroussi, Begoña García Malaxechebarría, Andrew W. Mackenzie, Elliot Paquette, Courtney Paquette

NeurIPS · 2024

44

4+3 Phases of Compute-Optimal Neural Scaling Laws

Elliot Paquette, Courtney Paquette, Lechao Xiao, Jeffrey Pennington

NeurIPS Spotlight · 2024

36

Hitting the High-dimensional notes: an ODE for SGD learning dynamics on GLMs and multi-index models

Elizabeth Collins-Woodfin, Courtney Paquette, Elliot Paquette, Inbar Seroussi

Information and Inference: A Journal of the IMA 13(4), iaae028 · 2024

34

Differentially Private Linear Regression with Linked Data

Shurong Lin, Elliot Paquette, Eric D. Kolaczyk

Harvard Data Science Review 6(3) · 2024

33

High-dimensional limit of one-pass SGD on least squares

Elizabeth Collins–Woodfin, Elliot Paquette

Electronic Communications in Probability 29, 1–15 · 2024

43

Trajectory of Mini-Batch Momentum: Batch Size Saturation and Convergence in High Dimensions

Kiwon Lee, Andrew N. Cheng, Courtney Paquette, Elliot Paquette

Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 35 · 2022

42

Implicit Regularization or Implicit Conditioning? Exact Risk Trajectories of SGD in High Dimensions

Courtney Paquette, Elliot Paquette, Ben Adlam, Jeffrey Pennington

Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 35 · 2022

25

Halting Time is Predictable for Large Models: A Universality Property and Average-case Analysis

Courtney Paquette, Bart van Merriënboer, Elliot Paquette, Fabian Pedregosa

Foundations of Computational Mathematics · 2022

41

Dynamics of Stochastic Momentum Methods on Large-scale, Quadratic Models

Courtney Paquette, Elliot Paquette

Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 34, 9229–9240 · 2021

40

SGD in the Large: Average-case Analysis, Asymptotics, and Stepsize Criticality

Courtney Paquette, Kiwon Lee, Fabian Pedregosa, Elliot Paquette

Proceedings of Thirty Fourth Conference on Learning Theory 134, 3548–3626 · 2021

Other writing

High-dimensional optimization

Courtney Paquette, Elliot Paquette

SIAM Views and News 20 · 2022

Probability

random graphs, geometry, and topology

22 papers

35

Fitting an ellipsoid to a quadratic number of random points

Afonso S. Bandeira, Antoine Maillard, Shahar Mendelson, Elliot Paquette

ALEA 21, 1835–1852 · 2024

31

The integer homology threshold in $Y_d(n, p)$

Andrew Newman, Elliot Paquette

Proc. Amer. Math. Soc. 151(8), 3213–3228 · 2023

30

Uniqueness in nuclear norm minimization: flatness of the nuclear norm sphere and simultaneous polarization

Tim Hoheisel, Elliot Paquette

J. Optim. Theory Appl. 197(1), 252–276 · 2023

26

Interval fragmentations with choice: Equidistribution and the evolution of tagged fragments

Pascal Maillard, Elliot Paquette

The Annals of Applied Probability 32(5), 3537–3571 · 2022

24

Anchored expansion of Delaunay complexes in real hyperbolic space and stationary point processes

Itai Benjamini, Yoav Krauz, Elliot Paquette

Probability Theory and Related Fields · 2021

23

The fundamental group of 2-dimensional random cubical complexes

Matthew Kahle, Elliot Paquette, Érika Roldán

Forum of Mathematics, Sigma 9, e76 · 2021

22

On the speed of distance stationary sequences

Matías Carrasco, Pablo Lessa, Elliot Paquette

ALEA 18, 829–854 · 2021

20

Surjectivity of near-square random matrices

Hoi H. Nguyen, Elliot Paquette

Combinatorics, Probability and Computing 29(2), 267–292 · 2020

18

Spectral Gaps of Random Graphs and Applications

Christopher Hoffman, Matthew Kahle, Elliot Paquette

International Mathematics Research Notices · 2019

17

Distributional Lattices on Riemannian symmetric spaces

Elliot Paquette

Unimodularity in randomly generated graphs 719, 63–84 · 2018

15

Anchored expansion, speed and the Poisson–Voronoi tessellation in symmetric spaces

Itai Benjamini, Elliot Paquette, Joshua Pfeffer

Annals of Probability 46(4), 1917–1956 · 2018

10

Birkhoff sum fluctuations in substitution dynamical systems

Elliot Paquette, Younghwan Son

Ergodic Theory and Dynamical Systems, 1–35 · 2017

9

The threshold for integer homology in random d-complexes

Christopher Hoffman, Matthew Kahle, Elliot Paquette

Discrete & Computational Geometry 57(4), 810–823 · 2017

8

Choices and intervals

Pascal Maillard, Elliot Paquette

Israel J. Math. 212(1), 337–384 · 2016

6

The power of choice over preferential attachment

Yury Malyshkin, Elliot Paquette

ALEA Lat. Am. J. Probab. Math. Stat. 12(2), 903–915 · 2015

5

The power of choice combined with preferential attachment

Yury Malyshkin, Elliot Paquette

Electron. Commun. Probab. 19, no. 44, 13 · 2014

4

Functional limit theorems for random regular graphs

Ioana Dumitriu, Tobias Johnson, Soumik and Paquette, Elliot Pal

Probab. Theory Related Fields 156(3-4), 921–975 · 2013

2

The trouble with von Koch curves built from $n$-gons

Tamás Keleti, Elliot Paquette

Amer. Math. Monthly 117(2), 124–137 · 2010

1

The index of a vector field on an orbifold with boundary

Elliot Paquette, Christopher Seaton

Involve 2(2), 161–175 · 2009

Other writing

Random geometric graphs and the spherical Wishart matrix

Elliot Paquette, Andrew Vander Werf

preprint arXiv:2110.10785 · October 2021

A Furstenberg type formula for the speed of distance stationary sequences

Matías Carrasco, Pablo Lessa, Elliot Paquette

preprint arXiv:1710.00733 · October 2017

Superseded by the published version listed above; this longer preprint remains on the arXiv.

Quantitative Small Subgraph Conditioning

Tobias Johnson, Elliot Paquette

preprint arXiv:1307.4858 · July 2013

Unpublished by intent; it remains available on the arXiv.